2025 Central Collegiate Fencing Conference Championship

Men's Foil

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Matthaei Athletic Facility - Detroit, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
2 LI Wangjie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
3 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 74% 42% 12%
3 ARIZA Isaac A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
5 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
6 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 13% 1%
7 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
8 LEUNG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% 1% -
9 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 21% 5% 1% - - -
11 ORONOWICZ Jakub 100% 99% 93% 74% 45% 19% 5% 1% - - -
12 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 12% 2% - -
14 CRALEY Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 66% 37% 14% 3% -
15 ARATA Connor 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% - - - - -
16 SORRENTINO Salvatore 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% - - - - -
17 HIRSCH Bobbie 100% 62% 21% 4% 1% - - - -
18 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 19% 5% 1% - - -
20 LEVITAS-GOREN Eli 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
21 CHENG Nathan 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
22 GNEUHS Sam 100% 84% 13% - -
23 WALTER Evran M. 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
24 REECE Oliver 100% 21% - - -
25 PIERCE Iris W. 100% 96% 69% 25% 2% -
26 HUNTER Phillip 100% 51% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.