2025 Central Collegiate Fencing Conference Championship

Men's Foil

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Matthaei Athletic Facility - Detroit, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 VOGLER Justin K. - - - - - - - 3% 16% 44% 36%
2 LI Wangjie - - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 AYUPOV Ilya - - - - - 1% 6% 18% 32% 30% 12%
3 ARIZA Isaac A. - - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
5 MION Lorenzo - - - - - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
6 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - - 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 1%
7 HUTH Mitchell - - - - - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
8 LEUNG Ethan - - 3% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% 1% -
9 WILKINS Mateo - 4% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% 1% - - -
11 ORONOWICZ Jakub 1% 6% 19% 29% 26% 14% 4% 1% - - -
12 GATRELL Mitchell E. - - 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 10% 2% - -
14 CRALEY Thomas - - - 3% 9% 21% 29% 24% 11% 3% -
15 ARATA Connor 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% - - - - -
16 SORRENTINO Salvatore 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% - - - - -
17 HIRSCH Bobbie 38% 40% 17% 4% 1% - - - -
18 SANTOS Carlos R. 1% 5% 17% 30% 28% 15% 4% 1% - - -
20 LEVITAS-GOREN Eli 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
21 CHENG Nathan 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
22 GNEUHS Sam 16% 71% 12% - -
23 WALTER Evran M. 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
24 REECE Oliver 79% 20% - - -
25 PIERCE Iris W. 4% 27% 44% 23% 2% -
26 HUNTER Phillip 49% 41% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.