W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
2 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
3 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
3 BENE Paul 100% 100% 96% 71% 28% 1%
5 BENE Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
6 HEANEY Sam 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
7 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 20%
8 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
9 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
11 ARRATIA Juan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
12 KASBERG Matt 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
13 FEIRA Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
14 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 4%
15 WATTS Liam 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
16 GOLART Dylan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
17 SU Ji 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
18 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1%
19 ZHOU Deborah 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
20 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
21 NEDIALKOV Daniel 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
22 CHON-BAKER Hayden 100% 94% 67% 29% 5% -
23 EVELYN Wyatt 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
24 NI Hao 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
25 FANG Darcy 100% 98% 67% 25% 5% -
26 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
26 CLICK Joe 100% 97% 68% 26% 4% -
28 SILK Ryan 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
29 WERNER Alexander 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
30 WANG Ziyao 100% 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% -
31 SMITH Connor 100% 96% 72% 28% 5% -
32 TRUDEAU Allison 100% 58% 4% - - - -
33 BORGESON Abigail 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
34 KEESEE Devon 100% 37% 5% - - -
35 HUANG Anni 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
36 GREBENTSOV Tony 100% 99% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
36 NEELY Isabelle 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
38 ATHALE Keya 100% 83% 39% 8% 1% -
39 TUSING Isabel 100% 91% 42% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.