W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Brendan - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
2 JACKSON Evan - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
3 PARCELL Colby - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
3 BENE Paul - 4% 24% 44% 26% 1%
5 BENE Andrew - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
6 HEANEY Sam - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
7 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. - - 5% 27% 47% 20%
8 SEMP Brannon A. - - - 3% 25% 72%
9 CASSIDY Connor J. - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
10 BRAMLETT Myer - 6% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
11 ARRATIA Juan - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
12 KASBERG Matt 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
13 FEIRA Justin - - 2% 15% 38% 35% 9%
14 LIAO Sirui - 5% 24% 43% 25% 4%
15 WATTS Liam 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
16 GOLART Dylan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
17 SU Ji - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
18 SAE-TUNG Kevin 2% 22% 39% 28% 8% 1%
19 ZHOU Deborah 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
20 KIRCHMAIER Charlie - - 5% 22% 42% 27% 4%
21 NEDIALKOV Daniel 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
22 CHON-BAKER Hayden 6% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
23 EVELYN Wyatt 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% -
24 NI Hao - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
25 FANG Darcy 2% 31% 42% 21% 4% -
26 HOWERTON Beckett 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
26 CLICK Joe 3% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
28 SILK Ryan 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
29 WERNER Alexander 2% 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
30 WANG Ziyao - 11% 42% 35% 10% 1% -
31 SMITH Connor 4% 24% 45% 23% 4% -
32 TRUDEAU Allison 42% 54% 4% - - - -
33 BORGESON Abigail 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
34 KEESEE Devon 63% 32% 4% - - -
35 HUANG Anni 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
36 GREBENTSOV Tony 1% 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
36 NEELY Isabelle 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
38 ATHALE Keya 17% 43% 32% 7% 1% -
39 TUSING Isabel 9% 49% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.