2025 ACC Championships

Senior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Eddie Smith Field House - Chapel Hill, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
3 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
4 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
5 WIND Nicky 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
7 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
8 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
9 WONG Ryan 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 9% 1%
10 BERMAN Luca 100% 87% 48% 11%
11 YOUNG Nash 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
12 XU William 100% 86% 46% 10%
13 LO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
14 CHAN Matthew 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
15 BUCHMANN Finn 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
16 WOOD Elden 100% 95% 69% 25%
17 NOBLE Colin 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
18 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
19 MORRILL Justin 100% 80% 37% 7%
20 HAN Edward 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.