Foothills Youth Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Foothills Fencing Academy - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DYE Ryman 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% < 1%
2 CASHION Ryan 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
3 SHELBY Abigail 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
3 ALLEN Logan 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
5 SHELBY Grace 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
6 COOK Jack 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
7 SLIVANO Julien 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
8 MASON Jonah 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
9 TAGYE Cooper 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2%
10 MCKINNEY Elyanna 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
11 MCKINNEY Arden 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
12 WHITEHEAD Margaret 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.