The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, February 1, 2019 at 8:30 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
2 WEI Vivian W. 100% 99% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
3 ROMAGNOLI Isabella 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
3 MAREK SOFIA 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
5 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
6 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
7 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
8 DUBOIS Lauren N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
9 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 35%
10 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
11 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
12 MIKA Veronica 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
13 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
14 ADEBANKE Niara 100% 100% 96% 72% 24% 3%
15 NG Sarah W. 100% 94% 67% 26% 5% -
16 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
17 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
18 JAVERI Amaya 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
19 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
20 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 100% 59% 18% 3% < 1% -
21 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
22 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
23 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
24 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
25 KONG Carys H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
26 LEE Sophia 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3%
27 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 99% 88% 45% 11% 1%
28 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 94% 65% 21% 2% -
29 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
30 WHALEN Paige C. 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
31 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 7%
32 JACOBS Skye 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
33 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
34 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
35 FAN Grace 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
36 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 20%
37 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4%
38 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
39 NAYAK Indra 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% -
40 CHEN Kevy 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
41 MARYASH Samantha 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
42 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
43 HUANG Caroline 100% 93% 64% 23% 4% -
44 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 52% 14% 2% - -
45 ANGIOLETTI Kazandra 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
46 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
47 XU Emily T. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
48 SCOTT Eve 100% 52% 9% 1% - - -
49 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 99% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
50 YUN Emma 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
51 COLBY Mercer 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
52 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
53 SUSPITSYNA Alexandra (Sasha) 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
54 CARRASCO Elle 100% 68% 15% 1% - -
56 ORNELAS Malia 100% 88% 32% 4% - -
57 NAZAROVA Arai 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.