Utah/Southern Idaho and friends Epee Cup

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Wasatch Fencing Club - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STORKEL Adam 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 22% 2%
2 MACK Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
3 FERGUSON Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
3 PULLARA Ashley 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 13% 2%
5 GAN Shelby 100% 99% 89% 52% 17% 3% < 1%
6 DAVIDSON James 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% < 1% -
7 SEAL Julie 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% 1%
8 VALENTINE Shem 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 6% -
9 CHRISTIAN Lyn 100% 99% 89% 66% 34% 11% 1%
10 DELISLE Jonas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
11 ASHBY Ethan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
12 LLOYD Melanie 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
13 SEAL Ayda 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 1% -
14 HEINZ Thurston 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
15 LIMA Roberto 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
16 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
17 GO-LINK Davin 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
18 LONG OKURA Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 2%
19 KEARSLEY Logan 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
20 HILL Aurora 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
21 ZHAO Yuxiao 100% 98% 87% 60% 29% 8% 1%
22 BURNIER Pierre 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
23 THAYER Kate 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 8% 1%
24 HAGEDORN Sidney 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
25 THRALL Lance 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3% -
26 BRUMLEY Mia 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
27 STROMNESS Erik Carter 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
28 MIRAVETE WHITMAN Ashleigh 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.