Indiana University 18+ Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Bill Garrett Fieldhouse Room 293 - Bloomington, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23%
2 BROWN-GRIMM Carl H. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
3 SCHEINGOLD Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
3 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
5 MUMFORD Josh 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
6 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
7 FREITAS DE OLIVEIRA Mariana 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
8 AHLER Quin 100% 32% 4% - - -
9 JAWABREH Qais 100% 100% 98% 79% 34% 3%
10 BATES Austin 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
11 METZ Evan 100% 96% 70% 27% 3% -
12 STENNIS Brendan 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
13 HERSCOVICI Aaron 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
14 BAILEY Lauren 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
15 DRAPER Jason 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
16 HARMON Philip R. 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
17 CHRISTNER Eli 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
18 DAWES Nathaniel 100% 96% 61% 16% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.