Rain City Spring RJCC+RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
2 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
3 HO Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
3 PESKIN Kepler 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
5 KUANG Vincent 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
6 LI Evan 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
7 OH Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
8 RYU Greyson 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
9 SUN Oliver 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
10 LIN Alden 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
11 ZHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11%
12 CHEUNG Iain 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
13 CHEN Kurtis 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
14 LIGERET Leo 100% 100% 93% 69% 29% 5%
15 CHANG Austin 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
16 SAVAGE Angus 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
17 LIN Conrad 100% 100% 92% 67% 30% 6%
18 LI Alex 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
19 MCBRIDE Sam 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
20 RYU Griffin 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
21 ROBERTS Nikolai 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
22 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
23 CHONG Tanner 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1%
24 QIU Yiran 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
25 MA Madrid 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
26 ZHANG Derek 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% - -
27 RAMIREZ Nicanor 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
28 PHAN Maxwell 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
29 SERBAN Aaron 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
30 DESCHENES Derek 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
31 CHEN Leo 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
32 SCORDINO Oscar 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.