SAS D & Under Foil

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, March 7, 2025 at 7:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
2 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
3 LU Chang 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
3 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
5 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 55% 12%
6 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 98% 70% 17%
7 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
8 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
9 WU Elynna 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
10 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 79% 25%
11 HAN Mia 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
12 CLEMENTE Aragorn 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
13 NICHOLSON John 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
14 ISLAM Asif 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
15 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
16 SHERWOOD Christopher T. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
17 LIPPMAN Soyeon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
18 BACON Maxwell 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
19 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 34% 4% - -
20 OKASAKI Connie 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
21 CANNON Ezra Xavier 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
23 LIPPAI Sarah 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
24 CHAN Xavier 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
25 ARUN Abi 100% 99% 87% 48% 10%
26 ROBLES Michael 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
27 GRANT Julie 100% 99% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
27 YU Max 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
29 DIBBLE Brady 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
30 CHEN Cameron 100% 89% 39% - -
31 AMMAR Sam 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
33 ZHANG Shirely 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.