2025 NCAA West Regionals

Women's Saber

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Air Force Academy - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 CODY Alexandra - - - - 1% 5% 11% 19% 24% 21% 13% 5% 1% -
2 LIN Zhiyin - - 3% 8% 16% 23% 22% 16% 8% 3% 1% - - -
3 HAN Jeanette - - - - 2% 6% 12% 20% 23% 19% 11% 4% 1% -
4 CHIN Sophia - - - - 2% 6% 13% 21% 23% 19% 11% 4% 1% -
5 FEARNS Zara - - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 23% 21% 14% 7% 2% - -
6 YONG Erika - - - - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 24% 19% 9% 3% -
7 LIGH Erenei - 2% 9% 18% 25% 22% 14% 7% 2% 1% - - - -
8 DUNGEY Amelia - - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 26% 25% 15% 4%
9 VESTEL Mira - - - 1% 4% 10% 17% 22% 21% 15% 7% 2% - -
10 ABOUDAHER Janna - - 3% 9% 18% 23% 22% 15% 7% 2% 1% - - -
11 XI Shining - - 1% 3% 9% 16% 22% 22% 16% 8% 3% 1% - -
12 GEYER Carolina - - 1% 5% 11% 19% 23% 20% 13% 6% 2% - - -
13 VASYAKIN Liana 13% 30% 31% 18% 7% 2% - - - - - - - -
14 BAKER Audrey - 3% 11% 20% 24% 21% 12% 5% 2% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.