2025 NCAA West Regionals

Men's Saber

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Air Force Academy - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 82% 62% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
2 KHODIR Yassin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 78% 57% 33% 15% 4% 1% -
3 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 66% 35% 10%
4 WU Roger 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 86% 67% 42% 19% 5% 1%
6 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 50% 27% 11% 3% - -
7 BARBER William 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 64% 40% 19% 7% 2% - -
8 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 99% 93% 77% 53% 29% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
9 LUEBBE Macklan 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 67% 43% 22% 8% 2% - - -
10 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 75% 53% 29% 12% 4% 1% - -
12 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 97% 87% 68% 43% 22% 8% 2% - - - -
13 MAGUIRE Matthew 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 51% 28% 12% 4% 1% - -
13 DILLREE Spencer 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 52% 29% 12% 4% 1% - - -
15 BARBER Brendan 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 55% 31% 14% 4% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.