2025 NCAA West Regionals

Men's Saber

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Air Force Academy - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - - - 2% 5% 12% 20% 24% 20% 12% 4% 1% -
2 KHODIR Yassin - - - 1% 2% 7% 14% 21% 23% 18% 10% 3% 1% -
3 PARK Donghwan - - - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 30% 25% 9%
4 WU Roger - - - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 23% 13% 4% 1%
6 SO Hananiah - - - 1% 4% 10% 17% 23% 22% 15% 7% 2% - -
7 BARBER William - - - 2% 6% 13% 20% 23% 19% 11% 4% 1% - -
8 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 3% 10% 19% 24% 21% 14% 6% 2% 1% - - - -
9 LUEBBE Macklan - - 2% 5% 12% 20% 23% 19% 12% 5% 1% - - -
10 YOUNG Nash - - 1% 3% 8% 16% 22% 22% 16% 8% 3% 1% - -
11 HAN Edward 4% 14% 25% 26% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - - - - -
12 HOUTZ Jackson - 1% 6% 14% 21% 23% 18% 10% 4% 1% - - - -
13 MAGUIRE Matthew - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 23% 21% 14% 7% 2% - - -
13 DILLREE Spencer - 1% 4% 10% 18% 23% 21% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
15 BARBER Brendan - 1% 3% 9% 18% 23% 22% 14% 7% 2% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.