2025 NCAA West Regionals

Men's Saber

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Air Force Academy - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - - 1% 5% 12% 20% 24% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
2 KHODIR Yassin - - - 2% 6% 14% 21% 24% 19% 10% 4% 1% -
3 PARK Donghwan - - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 21% 30% 26% 10%
4 WU Roger - - - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 25% 23% 14% 5% 1%
6 SO Hananiah - - 1% 3% 8% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 2% - -
7 BARBER William - - 1% 4% 11% 19% 24% 21% 13% 5% 1% - -
8 KIM-COGAN Ryan 1% 6% 16% 24% 24% 17% 8% 3% 1% - - - -
9 LUEBBE Macklan - 1% 4% 10% 19% 24% 21% 14% 6% 2% - - -
10 YOUNG Nash - - 2% 7% 15% 22% 23% 17% 9% 3% 1% - -
12 HOUTZ Jackson - 3% 10% 19% 24% 22% 13% 6% 2% - - - -
13 MAGUIRE Matthew - - 2% 8% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 3% 1% - -
13 DILLREE Spencer - 2% 7% 16% 23% 23% 17% 8% 3% 1% - - -
15 BARBER Brendan - 2% 6% 15% 22% 24% 17% 9% 3% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.