15th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center: Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIALIK Noah 100% 100% 99% 84% 43% 7%
2 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 WOMACK Theodore 100% 100% 92% 50% 12% 1%
3 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
5 LORENZINI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
6 RAKAJ Jozef 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
7 EDWARDS Farren 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
8 JAYARAM Archita 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
9 HAYES David 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
10 GONZALEZ Jerry 100% 100% 99% 84% 42% 7%
11 SWETT Isaac B. 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
12 GORDON Ezekiel 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% -
13 MARTIN Evangeline 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
14 MACKEY Ibrahim 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
15 FARAHMAND Shaya 100% 100% 90% 46% 12% 1% -
16 VU Mark 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
17 BOUNDS Andrew 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
18 CALLAHAN Arrow 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
19 LINDSAY Mirah 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
20 RODRIGUEZ Jason 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
21 OH Seonghun 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
22 HUGHEY Emma 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
23 RIETZ Cairan 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% -
24 LINDSAY Devin 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
25 SHAGHAGHI Sahand 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
26 SULLIVAN Axyl 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
27 BARNES Rachel 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
28 HUGHES Eric 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
29 DAILEY John 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
30 WATKINS James 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
31 LIU Kyle 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
32 TAOUIL Sarrah 100% 73% 26% 4% - - -
33 MOON Joseph 100% 56% 11% 1% - -
34 HUGHEY Titus 100% 63% 9% - - -
35 JONES Declan 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
36 WILCOX Hayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
37 RANDALL Kiara 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
38 CUMMINGS Aaron 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.