George Mason University Patriot Open 2025

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRAYTON Royce S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 32%
2 LEE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
3 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 GODIN Willis 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
5 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
6 MACKAY Ian 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
7 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
8 ZIMSKY James 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
9 PONCET Sarah 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
10 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
11 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
12 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
13 VILLANUEVA Daniel 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
14 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 10%
15 SINGH Meet 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 4%
16 TANG Justin 100% 99% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
17 MCCREADY-FLORA Felicity 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
18 TSENG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
19 WENZEL Stephen 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
20 GALVAN Omar 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
21 VOORHEES Owen 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
22 JEROME Trevor 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
23 BORAN Connor 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
24 PISTONE Leah 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
25 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 98% 83% 44% 9% -
26 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
27 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 97% 64% 23% 5% - -
28 CHAO Pierre 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
29 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
30 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% 1% -
31 CHANDLEE Thomas 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
32 STENSON Alyssa 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
33 ANGULO DE LOS RIOS Felipe 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
34 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 100% 88% 52% 15% 1% -
35 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 3%
36 LEE Hans 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
37 FUNK Ethan 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
38 NUSINZON Boris 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
39 SCHOEPFLE Carla 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
40 DJANGKUAK Julian 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.