George Mason University Patriot Open 2025

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 1:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRAYTON Royce S. - - - 2% 18% 48% 32%
2 LEE Ethan - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
3 PRICE Owen - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
3 GODIN Willis - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
5 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
6 MACKAY Ian 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
7 GANDLURI Sreehitha - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
8 ZIMSKY James - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
9 PONCET Sarah - 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
10 SAE-TUNG Kevin - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
11 STANSBURY Desmond 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2%
12 MAHNKEN Thomas G. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
13 VILLANUEVA Daniel - 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
14 MAHNKEN Thomas P. - - 2% 10% 33% 45% 10%
15 SINGH Meet 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
16 TANG Justin 1% 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
17 MCCREADY-FLORA Felicity - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
18 TSENG Lucas - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
19 WENZEL Stephen 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
20 GALVAN Omar 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
21 VOORHEES Owen - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
22 JEROME Trevor 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
23 BORAN Connor 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
24 PISTONE Leah - 7% 29% 38% 21% 4%
25 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 2% 15% 39% 35% 9% -
26 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
27 WESTGATE Rebecca 3% 33% 40% 19% 4% - -
28 CHAO Pierre 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
29 CANDELARIA Armando 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
30 STRUMLAUF Jacob 3% 17% 38% 33% 9% 1% -
31 CHANDLEE Thomas 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
32 STENSON Alyssa 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
33 ANGULO DE LOS RIOS Felipe - 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
34 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 12% 36% 38% 14% 1% -
35 STEFFENSEN Lily - 7% 32% 40% 19% 3%
36 LEE Hans 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
37 FUNK Ethan 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
38 NUSINZON Boris 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
39 SCHOEPFLE Carla 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
40 DJANGKUAK Julian 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.