George Mason University Patriot Open 2025

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 4:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUA Catherine W. - - - 3% 16% 43% 37%
2 MCAFEE Jada - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 7%
3 MOYD Aaron - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
3 LAUDO Joseph - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
5 PAGAN Andrew - - 1% 8% 33% 45% 13%
6 CEDENO Andres 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 4% -
7 XIE Eric - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
8 CHENH Justin - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
9 FIGUEROA Alexander - - 4% 23% 42% 27% 3%
10 SIN Steve - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
11 RACHAPROLU DIVYAGNYAAN Siddartha - 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
12 WEST-BEY Ahmad 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
13 BUYUCCAN Jonah - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
14 MITCHELL Matthew - - 3% 18% 47% 31% 1%
15 NGUYEN Anna - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
16 JONES Victory 1% 7% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
17 SIMS Martin L. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
18 LIN Hao 8% 31% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
19 ZHOU Deborah 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
19 TERRELL Mason 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
21 BARBORIAK Emily 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
22 FORD Aaron 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
23 MITCHELL Alexander 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
24 SOMMERS Graham 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
25 CHON-BAKER Hayden 7% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
26 OHASHI Jax 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
27 STRUMLAUF Jacob 6% 33% 41% 17% 2% - -
28 CLARK Meghan 2% 18% 46% 27% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.