George Mason University Patriot Open 2025

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 4:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
2 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 7%
3 MOYD Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
3 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
5 PAGAN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 13%
6 CEDENO Andres 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4% -
7 XIE Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
8 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
9 FIGUEROA Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
10 SIN Steve 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
11 RACHAPROLU DIVYAGNYAAN Siddartha 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
12 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
13 BUYUCCAN Jonah 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
14 MITCHELL Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32% 1%
15 NGUYEN Anna 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
16 JONES Victory 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
17 SIMS Martin L. 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
18 LIN Hao 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
19 ZHOU Deborah 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
19 TERRELL Mason 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
21 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
22 FORD Aaron 100% 91% 60% 21% 4% - -
23 MITCHELL Alexander 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
24 SOMMERS Graham 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
25 CHON-BAKER Hayden 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
26 OHASHI Jax 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
27 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 94% 60% 19% 2% - -
28 CLARK Meghan 100% 98% 80% 34% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.