15th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center: Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Andrew T. - - - 1% 11% 48% 39%
2 ERIZE Alejandro 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
3 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
3 ZHOU alex - 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
5 KIM Daniel - - - 4% 28% 67%
6 SEEDS Aidan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
7 DO Joshua - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
8 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 13%
9 LEE Winston - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
10 KUCIA Michael J. - 1% 11% 37% 40% 12%
11 ARZT Nicholas - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
12 MARSHALL Wesley - - - 8% 39% 53%
13 PARK Andrew - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
14 CREMONA Diego Maria - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
15 CUPO Anthony - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
16 NEWMAN Taylor H. - 1% 12% 50% 33% 5%
17 REDDY Daksh - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
18 KWON Jason - 2% 12% 31% 35% 16% 3%
19 TAK Jemi - - 7% 31% 39% 19% 3%
20 HUGHES Eric - - - 1% 13% 49% 36%
21 RAFFERTY Catherine 2% 15% 35% 35% 13% 1%
22 OLSON Clayton M. - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
23 MENON Rahul 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
24 LIU Oscar - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
25 SORANNO James 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
26 KHEGAY Martin - 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
27 WRIGHT Alex - 2% 11% 33% 39% 16%
28 HWANG Brandon - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
29 BETTS Kieran - 13% 36% 35% 14% 2%
30 BALKIR Thomas - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
31 NGUYEN Joseph - 1% 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
32 WHITE Taylor - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
33 MEREDITH Jeffrey - 4% 18% 37% 29% 10% 1%
34 HERARD Weiman - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
35 BENTON Kira 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
36 BATISTA Julian - 2% 14% 41% 37% 5% -
36 BEDULLA Asher - 4% 22% 43% 27% 4% -
38 MARTIN Stella 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
39 ATON Dave - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
40 HUANG Arthur 23% 51% 23% 3% - -
41 LIGON Arielle 4% 24% 46% 24% 2% -
42 DAILEY John 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
43 HAWKINS Sophia 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
44 KARTHIKEYAKANNAN Madhav 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% - -
45 GRANT Grayson 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
45 WERTH Mario - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
47 TAYLOR Benjamin - 5% 23% 40% 25% 6% 1%
48 DOUGLAS John 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
49 PEACOCK Audrey 13% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
50 VON KLAR Rhiannon 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
51 LIU Yunhao 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
52 HAHN Rebecca 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
53 LE BLANC Anna 62% 32% 5% - - -
54 DOSS matthew 5% 27% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
55 YOUNG III Cecil 10% 29% 33% 20% 6% 1% -
56 MA Victor 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
57 GARRETT John 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
58 MESNER Talyn 11% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
59 SHAKULA Matvey 8% 39% 39% 13% 1% - -
60 BANJA Michael 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
61 WANG Aaron 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
62 KONKEL Broderick 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
63 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 47% 44% 8% 1% - - -
64 BARRETT John 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
65 TYMOFIEIEVA Arina 43% 44% 12% 1% - -
66 KIM Sarah 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.