15th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center: Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 39%
2 ERIZE Alejandro 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
3 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
3 ZHOU alex 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
5 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
6 SEEDS Aidan 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
7 DO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
9 LEE Winston 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
10 KUCIA Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
11 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
12 MARSHALL Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 53%
13 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
14 CREMONA Diego Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
15 CUPO Anthony 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
16 NEWMAN Taylor H. 100% 100% 99% 87% 38% 5%
17 REDDY Daksh 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
18 KWON Jason 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
19 TAK Jemi 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
20 HUGHES Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 36%
21 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
22 OLSON Clayton M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
23 MENON Rahul 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
24 LIU Oscar 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
25 SORANNO James 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
26 KHEGAY Martin 100% 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
27 WRIGHT Alex 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
28 HWANG Brandon 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
29 BETTS Kieran 100% 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
30 BALKIR Thomas 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
31 NGUYEN Joseph 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
32 WHITE Taylor 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
33 MEREDITH Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
34 HERARD Weiman 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
35 BENTON Kira 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
36 BATISTA Julian 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 5% -
36 BEDULLA Asher 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5% -
38 MARTIN Stella 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
39 ATON Dave 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
40 HUANG Arthur 100% 77% 27% 3% - -
41 LIGON Arielle 100% 96% 72% 26% 2% -
42 DAILEY John 100% 98% 80% 43% 11% 1%
43 HAWKINS Sophia 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 6% 1%
44 KARTHIKEYAKANNAN Madhav 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
45 GRANT Grayson 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
45 WERTH Mario 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
47 TAYLOR Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
48 DOUGLAS John 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% - -
49 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
50 VON KLAR Rhiannon 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
51 LIU Yunhao 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
52 HAHN Rebecca 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
53 LE BLANC Anna 100% 38% 6% - - -
54 DOSS matthew 100% 95% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
55 YOUNG III Cecil 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
56 MA Victor 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
57 GARRETT John 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
58 MESNER Talyn 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
59 SHAKULA Matvey 100% 92% 53% 14% 1% - -
60 BANJA Michael 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
61 WANG Aaron 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
62 KONKEL Broderick 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
63 SOKOLOWSKI Olivia 100% 53% 9% 1% - - -
64 BARRETT John 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
65 TYMOFIEIEVA Arina 100% 57% 13% 1% - -
66 KIM Sarah 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.