2025 NCAA Northeast Regionals

Women's Foil

Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 10:30 AM

Tufts University - Medford, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
1 RHODES Zander - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 26% 25% 14% 3%
2 SCRUGGS Lauren - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2% 6% 17% 30% 31% 13%
4 CHENG Evelyn - - - - - - - - - - - 1% 3% 7% 13% 20% 23% 19% 11% 4% 1% -
5 GAYDOS Sofia - - - - - - - 2% 5% 10% 17% 21% 20% 14% 7% 3% 1% - - - - -
6 GUO Jessica 3% 16% 29% 27% 16% 7% 2% - - - - - - - - - - - < 1% - - -
7 LACHMAN Antonina - - - - - - - - - 1% 3% 8% 14% 20% 21% 17% 10% 4% 1% - - -
8 CHEN Jessie - - - - 1% 2% 6% 12% 18% 21% 18% 12% 6% 2% 1% - - - - - - -
9 SZANTAY Anna - - - 2% 6% 13% 20% 22% 18% 11% 5% 2% 1% - - - - - - - -
10 LI Grace 7% 24% 33% 23% 10% 3% 1% - - < 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
11 CHUSID Renata - - - - - - - - 1% 2% 5% 11% 18% 22% 19% 13% 6% 2% - - - -
12 KHOO Lauren - - - - - - - 1% 2% 6% 11% 17% 20% 18% 13% 8% 3% 1% - - - - - - - -
13 STAMOS Maria - - - 1% 5% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1% -
14 JO Mia - - - - - 2% 6% 13% 21% 24% 19% 10% 4% 1% - - -
15 ZHANG Alina - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 24% 13% 4% 1% - - -
16 LEA Levi - - - - - 1% 5% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1% - -
17 HOOSHI Erica - - - - 3% 10% 23% 30% 23% 10% 2% -
18 REN Olivia - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 23% 13% 4% 1% -
19 LEE Brianna - - - - 1% 3% 11% 23% 28% 21% 10% 2% - -
20 TAN Helen - - - - - - - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 11%
21 CHEN Shanon - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 10% 3% 1% - - -
22 WU Renee - 4% 17% 31% 28% 14% 4% 1% - -
23 CHO Taylor - 6% 30% 41% 19% 4% - -
24 SARTORI Taylor - - - 2% 8% 20% 30% 26% 12% 2% -
28 OLIVEIRA Lavinia 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% - - -
29 HOSONO Rei - - - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
30 CHO Cameron - - - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
31 PENG Amber - - 4% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
32 ASCHETTINO Aurora 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% - - -
33 DU Hannah 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% - - -
34 MEYER Claudia 10% 39% 37% 13% 2% - - - -
35 SOPHIE Guan 4% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1% - - - -
36 YE Eileen - 6% 43% 40% 10%
38 O'NEIL Neve 3% 29% 64% 5%
40 HUNT Abigail 68% 30% 2% -
41 BASSIK Eva 2% 72% 23% 2% -
42 PEREZ LEAL Daniela 8% 45% 43% 5% -
43 GADIYARAM Sushama 82% 17% 1% - -
44 WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy) 72% 26% 2% - -
45 RICHARDS Ella 44% 45% 11% -
46 NORTH Zoe 63% 33% 3% -
47 TOBIN Brean 20% 63% 15% 1%
48 YUAN Angela < 1% 14% 44% 35% 7%
48 STENGER Julia 97% 3% - - -
50 EZELL Nicole 76% 24%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.