SAS D & Under Epee

Div III Mixed Épée

Friday, March 14, 2025 at 7:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEWIS Michael 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
2 NETTLETON Lewis 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
3 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
3 XUE Jake 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
5 WITECKI Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
6 BRODIE Ian T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
7 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 99% 89% 66% 34% 11% 1%
8 SHIRAEV Dmitry 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
9 LIU Fengqi 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
10 KANIA Robert 100% 97% 83% 54% 24% 6% 1%
11 SCOTT Gavin 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
12 SILKEY Jason 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
13 GE Ray 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
14 GILMORE Nicholas 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
15 CROPLEY Theodore 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 4%
16 DZIO Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
17 BACON Corban 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
18 SHIFF Jackson 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
19 LOHNES Shane 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% -
20 BOYER Victor 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
21 FARRER Cheryl 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
22 JOHNSON Kingsley 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
23 ZHAO Michael 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
24 HUFF Ava 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
24 GORDILLO Roberto Santiago 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
26 CHAPMAN Jack 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
27 CLIFTON Kenneth 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.