MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ASHIDA Tomoaki | V D V V V V | V V V V V | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 2 | MAK Collin Chun Shing | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 3 | ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan | V D V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | LEYVA MATOS Danyer | V V D D V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 5 | CLARK Benjamin | V V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 6 | DAVIS Benjamin | V V V V V D | V V D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| 7 | TEH Tang-Ngu | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 8 | YIN Zixin(Gavin) | V V V V D | V V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 9 | FANG Haoyu | V V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 9 | TAN Xinlai | V V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 11 | SEIGEL Duncan | V V V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 12 | RONE Tosan | V D V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 13 | SINHA Verdhaan | V V D V V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 14 | IRVINE Brody | D V D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | BERSCHEID Arthur | V V D D V | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 16 | RAJPAL Alastair | D V D V D V | V V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 17 | HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott | D V V V V V | D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 18 | KABARITI Karim | V V V D V V | D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 19 | SMITH Erick | V V D D V V | V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| 20 | EDWARDS Connor | V V D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 21 | BARRETT Austin | V V V D D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 22 | LANE Sean | V D D V V | V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 23 | TOEWS Jackson | D V D V V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 24 | POWELL Sean | V V V D D D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 25 | ZMUDA Aiden | D V D V D V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 25 | LOCKWOOD Jacob | D D V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 27 | FINDLER Zachary | D D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 28 | NEWMAN Noah | V D V D D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 29 | HEYBOER Jason | D D V V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 30 | RIFKIND Mark | D V D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 31 | WILLIAMS Christopher R. | D D V D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 32 | ZINSER Jamie | V D D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 33 | RUBY Asher | V D V V D | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 34 | CLIPPARD Erik J. | V D V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 35 | JUSCINSKI Michal | D D V V V D | D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 36 | CROOM Tucker | D D V V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 37 | CARRINO David | D V D D V D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 38 | KNIBBE Nathan | V D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 39 | TOWNE Benjamin | D V D D D V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 40 | DECKER Evan M. | D D D D V | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 41 | WENGER Liam | D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 42 | BONE Porter | D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 43 | STORER Alexander | D V D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 44 | GRINER Kevin | D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 45 | DIEPSTRA Jeremy | D D V D D D | D | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| 46 | DRAWZ Chase | V D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 47 | STELLPFLUG Zachary | D D D D V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 48 | LOCKWOOD Jereme | D V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 49 | BASS Nathan | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 50 | SANDLER Marc | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 51 | BUSMAN Caleb | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 52 | TERPSTRA Clive | D D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.