The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, February 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
2 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
3 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
6 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
7 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
7 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
9 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36% 5%
10 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
11 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
12 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 3%
13 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
14 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
15 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
16 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
17 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
18 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
19 LIN Victoria T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
20 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
21 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
22 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 2%
23 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
24 FURST Chloe 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
25 LIN Zhi tong 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
26 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
27 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
28 MI Aileen 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
29 WEI Vika 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1%
30 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
31 LEE Fiona E. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
32 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
33 SU Michelle 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
34 HU Felice 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
35 FU Qihan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11% 1%
36 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 33% 5%
37 CHOW Annabelle 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
38 COOPER Piper W. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
39 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
39 BASSIK Eva 100% 99% 85% 39% 8% 1% -
41 HOANG Mai 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
42 LEVY Avery 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
43 KOKES Gwendolen 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
44 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 2%
45 BRANDON Fionnoula 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
45 DAVIES Ellie 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
47 ZHANG Elaine 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
48 ALEXANDER Amelia 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
48 ROY Layla 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
50 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
52 KOGAN Stella 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% - -
53 WILLIS Fletcher L. 100% 99% 81% 43% 11% 1%
54 ZHENG Julie 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
55 HOANG Anh 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
56 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
58 SHARMA Anyi 100% 99% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
59 GOLBIN Ariella J. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
60 KOGAN Alexis 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
61 ZARE Yasmin 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
62 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
63 SHIM Grace 100% 22% 2% - - -
64 WALOR Riley H. 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% - -
65 CASPAR Margot 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
66 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
67 ZHAN Eileen 100% 99% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
68 ZHANG Alina 100% 69% 16% 1% - - -
69 NORDQUIST Britt Marie 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.