Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
2 SIMAK Joseph P. - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
3 WILSON Jude - - - 4% 17% 41% 37%
3 HUANG Ethan F. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
5 CHAN Matthew - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
6 SAGARDI David - - 3% 21% 47% 28%
7 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6%
8 KIM Shaun M. - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
9 LEE Justin - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
10 FENG Leo - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
11 GILSON Lucas B. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
12 LUTHRA Arjun - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
12 CHON Taylor A. - 1% 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
14 ZHENG Edward L. - - 6% 34% 44% 16%
15 WANG Charles - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
16 LEE Aydan J. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
17 BUCHMANN Finn D. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
18 LI Minghan - - 4% 21% 39% 29% 8%
19 WOODWARD Connor - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
19 SHOMAN Noah - 2% 14% 33% 36% 13% 1%
21 HONG Steven - - 4% 30% 46% 20%
22 OH Triton 1% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% < 1%
23 MALONE Gregory D. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
24 BERRIO Carter E. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
25 HUANG Maxwell H. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
26 MAY Griffin M. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
27 ZHANG Jeffrey - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
28 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 3% 17% 39% 33% 9%
29 SHOMAN Zachary - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
30 CHOI Silas - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
31 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 2% 22% 47% 29%
32 HUANG Alexander C. - 1% 5% 23% 46% 25%
33 GIANETTO Ethan K. - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
34 KOGAN Nikita - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
35 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
36 DVORIN Jack - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
37 WAXLER Seth B. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
38 ZENG Noah 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
39 LEONARD Charles - 3% 19% 41% 31% 6%
40 BAERMAN Michael 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
41 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
42 WU Richard 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
43 PENG Bryan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
44 LAU Justin Y. 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
45 BAE Jason I. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
46 RODE Leon J. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
47 WANG Robert 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
48 ZHANG Derek 9% 36% 36% 16% 3% - -
49 CHAN Aidan 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
50 LEE Aidan S. 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
51 CHEONG Heonjun - 8% 40% 38% 12% 1%
52 CARTAGENA Caden A. - 3% 18% 40% 32% 7%
53 ETIN Ari 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
54 LEE Derek J. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
54 YEE Ethan C. 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
56 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
57 BONETTI Brayden - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
58 CHUANG Tristan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
59 SUN Ziyao 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
60 BERA Enzo - - < 1% 3% 17% 44% 36%
60 STURN Oliver 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
62 GUYDOUK Alexey 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
63 ZHANG Ethan W. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
64 WEBER Mattias A. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
65 TURCK Caspar J. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
66 KILGALLEN William - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
67 MORRILL William - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
68 SUN Hanyang - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
69 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
70 FIELDS Matthew S. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
71 REN James 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
72 HUANG Alex F. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
73 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
74 FIRSTMAN William B. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
75 MEHTA Krish 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
76 HOPPA Luke H. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
77 HUNG Samuel - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
78 TRAN Tripp L. - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
79 YU Thomas 8% 28% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
80 SHANKWILER Christopher - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
81 GUREVICH Savely 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
82 PERRON Robert 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
84 COLLAS Raphael - 1% 8% 32% 42% 18%
85 HU Christopher - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
86 LEMPERT Adam 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
86 QI Eric K. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
88 GAUVEY Kieran 1% 16% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
89 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
90 ZHOU James Y. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
91 WANG Nicolas - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
92 CLARK Caleb 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
93 TRAN Dash - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
94 MARGULIS Jared 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
95 KOGAN Yelisey L. - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
95 STROHL Samuel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
97 THORNHILL Kwasi 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
98 BOULAIS Andrew D. 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
99 SUN Matthew 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
100 HIREMATH Kushal 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
101 NAYAK Surin K. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
102 ANAND Sahil Z. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
103 PREUD'HOMME Guillaume 37% 49% 13% 1% - -
104 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 23% 46% 25% 6% 1% -
105 SINGER Colin 1% 17% 41% 32% 8% 1%
106 SUN Andy 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
107 LARRAZOLO Vincent 3% 23% 52% 19% 3% -
108 CANNON Logan T. 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
109 CHEN Jia Tao 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
110 BAKALOV Alex 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
111 LIN Philip T. - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
112 KANG evan 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
113 KOCHENSPARGER III Robert L. 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
114 GREENBAUM Max B. 57% 36% 6% - - - -
115 BRODSKY Bryan 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
115 FATTEH-PATIL Armaan 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
117 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
117 HUANG Connor 1% 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
119 CARATTINI Chase A. 2% 27% 44% 23% 4% - -
120 FRUTH Evan 68% 28% 4% - - - -
121 BARNARD Ven B. 8% 43% 35% 11% 2% - -
123 SHIPITSIN Alexander < 1% 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
124 HAPP Braeden 38% 45% 15% 2% - -
125 AKST Elliot 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
125 SHU Tony 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
127 PATEL Rayn 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
130 JOSEF Asher 22% 56% 20% 1% - -
131 YAN William 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
132 WANG Max 22% 47% 25% 6% 1% - -
133 FTAIHA Ezra 38% 49% 12% 1% - -
134 FORTIN Davis 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% - -
135 HOTHA Nikhil 15% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.