Capitol Clash SYC & RCC with Non-Regional Veteran and Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
3 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
5 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 SAGARDI David 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
7 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
8 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
9 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
10 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
11 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
12 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
12 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 8%
14 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 60% 16%
15 WANG Charles 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
16 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
17 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
18 LI Minghan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
19 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
19 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 1%
21 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 66% 20%
22 OH Triton 100% 99% 83% 47% 14% 2% < 1%
23 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
24 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
25 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
26 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
27 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
28 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
29 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
30 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
31 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 76% 29%
32 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 25%
33 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
34 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
35 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
36 DVORIN Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
37 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
38 ZENG Noah 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
39 LEONARD Charles 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
40 BAERMAN Michael 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
41 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
42 WU Richard 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
43 PENG Bryan 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
44 LAU Justin Y. 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
45 BAE Jason I. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
46 RODE Leon J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
47 WANG Robert 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
48 ZHANG Derek 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
49 CHAN Aidan 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
50 LEE Aidan S. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
51 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 92% 52% 13% 1%
52 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
53 ETIN Ari 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
54 LEE Derek J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
54 YEE Ethan C. 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
56 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
57 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
58 CHUANG Tristan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
59 SUN Ziyao 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
60 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
60 STURN Oliver 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
62 GUYDOUK Alexey 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
63 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
64 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
65 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
66 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
67 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
68 SUN Hanyang 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
69 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
70 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
71 REN James 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
72 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
73 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 3% -
74 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
75 MEHTA Krish 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 1%
76 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
77 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
78 TRAN Tripp L. 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
79 YU Thomas 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
80 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
81 GUREVICH Savely 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
82 PERRON Robert 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
84 COLLAS Raphael 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
85 HU Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
86 LEMPERT Adam 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
86 QI Eric K. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
88 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
89 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
90 ZHOU James Y. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
91 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
92 CLARK Caleb 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
93 TRAN Dash 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
94 MARGULIS Jared 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
95 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
95 STROHL Samuel 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
97 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
98 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
99 SUN Matthew 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 3% -
100 HIREMATH Kushal 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
101 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
102 ANAND Sahil Z. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
103 PREUD'HOMME Guillaume 100% 63% 14% 1% - -
104 HU-VAN REETH Alexander 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% -
105 SINGER Colin 100% 99% 82% 40% 9% 1%
106 SUN Andy 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
107 LARRAZOLO Vincent 100% 97% 74% 22% 3% -
108 CANNON Logan T. 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
109 CHEN Jia Tao 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
110 BAKALOV Alex 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
111 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
112 KANG evan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
113 KOCHENSPARGER III Robert L. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
114 GREENBAUM Max B. 100% 43% 7% - - - -
115 BRODSKY Bryan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
115 FATTEH-PATIL Armaan 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
117 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
117 HUANG Connor 100% 99% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
119 CARATTINI Chase A. 100% 98% 71% 27% 4% - -
120 FRUTH Evan 100% 32% 5% - - - -
121 BARNARD Ven B. 100% 92% 48% 13% 2% - -
123 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
124 HAPP Braeden 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
125 AKST Elliot 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
125 SHU Tony 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
127 PATEL Rayn 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
130 JOSEF Asher 100% 78% 22% 1% - -
131 YAN William 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
132 WANG Max 100% 78% 31% 6% 1% - -
133 FTAIHA Ezra 100% 62% 13% 1% - -
134 FORTIN Davis 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% - -
135 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.