GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, March 15, 2025 at 3:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
2 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
3 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 100% 93% 49% 7%
3 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 12%
5 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 2%
6 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
7 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 9%
8 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 24%
9 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 17%
10 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
11 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
12 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
13 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 10%
14 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 100% 100% 91% 56% 13% 1%
15 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 12% -
16 RUBY Asher 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2% -
17 MCGRATH Milo 100% 50% 6% - -
18 HERRERA Xavier 100% 100% 98% 72% 27% 4% -
19 LI Andy 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
20 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
21 KOLACKI Gabriel 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
21 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 100% 97% 64% 20% 2% -
23 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 95% 56% 10%
24 KAGAN Noah 100% 98% 81% 41% 8% 1%
25 DRAWZ Chase 100% 74% 27% 4% - -
26 WENGER Liam 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3% -
27 DEPP Edward 100% 83% 37% 7% - -
28 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 95% 69% 25% 3% -
29 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% 1%
30 YATES Graeme 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
31 CHASE Crosby 100% 59% 15% 2% - -
32 GOGOI Kavi 100% 65% 11% 1% -
33 NI Aaric 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
34 WANG Freyr 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
35 VOGEL Rylan 100% 47% 5% - - - -
37 CHAN William 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -
38 BUSMAN Caleb 100% 63% 6% - - - -
39 FRASER Alistair 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.