St. Paddy's Slay at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 15, 2025 at 11:00 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIXON Scott 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
2 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
3 YORK Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
3 MUMFORD Josh 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
5 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
6 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
7 FUCHS Robert 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 6% -
8 FAENOVA Alexandra 100% 68% 24% 4% < 1% - -
9 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
10 HINGSBERGEN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
11 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
12 YORKE Evan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
13 LONG Erika 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% -
14 SAYLER Gordon 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
15 LEWTON Grace 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
16 REEN Stephen 100% 99% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
17 METZ Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
18 GILL Anhad 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% - -
19 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
20 MAI Carl D. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
21 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% - -
22 PLUMMER Ken 100% 89% 39% 9% 1% - -
23 DELLAIRA Isabella 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
24 CRAFT David M. 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% - -
24 HUCULAK Eerik 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
26 LAGONA Anna 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
27 HILDEBRANDT Matthew 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1% -
28 DUTTON Kitty 100% 37% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.