San Diego Senior Cup #6

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 10:00 AM

San Diego Jewish Academy - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 50%
2 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 41%
3 CALDERON Pablo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 POSSON Luke 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 8%
5 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
6 DENISON Declan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
7 NORTON Henry 100% 96% 70% 25% 3% -
8 MARSH Timothy G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
9 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 96% 75% 29% 3%
10 WATT Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
11 SAMIMI Sina 100% 64% 21% 3% < 1% -
12 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 26%
13 LIANG Donny 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
14 ALLEN David 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
15 WATERS Will T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
16 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 99% 90% 57% 16% 1%
17 DU Yiwei 100% 98% 76% 23% 3% -
18 CHOI Jung Jin 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% -
18 GAYLORD Ronan 100% 87% 43% 9% 1% -
20 XUE Chenming 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
21 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 100% 95% 66% 21% 2%
22 TOMAS Justin 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 2%
23 ALEXANDER Charles 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
23 TIAN choyu 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
25 SANTOS Benjamin 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
26 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 1% -
27 LEE Sang 100% 100% 94% 67% 22% 2%
28 LUNDE Drew 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1%
29 SETTE Alessandro 100% 100% 99% 81% 25% 2%
30 ROLAND Nikolas 100% 48% 7% - - -
31 WANG Dylan 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
32 TERRA BARRETT Isaiah 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
33 YI David 100% 89% 51% 12% 1% -
34 KENO Daniel 100% 79% 35% 6% - -
35 NUGENT Curtis 100% 75% 20% 1% - -
36 MORSE Connor 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
37 GONZALEZ Arthur 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.