GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
2 HOROWITZ Shuli - 7% 32% 47% 15%
3 AADHI Hansika - 1% 9% 39% 51%
3 MUMMANENI Samyuta - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
5 DESERANNO Seren - 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
6 XIONG Isabel 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
7 FANG Adela 5% 32% 44% 18% 2%
8 HOOGSTRA Lucy 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
9 SONG Jenna - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
10 TAN Dorathy - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
11 COLLINS Anna 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
12 KOZINSKI Allison E. 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
13 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
14 CAMPBELL June 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
15 SONG Erin 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3%
16 MORSE Katherine 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
17 OWEN Ashley - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
18 MIZIN Sarita O. 1% 18% 38% 31% 11% 1%
19 HU Jiarong 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
20 SHUSTA Lily 6% 36% 42% 15% 1%
21 TELCI Arya 82% 16% 1% - - -
22 SOROUR Amira 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
23 PERRIN Emma 65% 30% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.