GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC - Third Coast Cup 2025

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
2 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 93% 62% 15%
3 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 DESERANNO Seren 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
6 XIONG Isabel 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
7 FANG Adela 100% 95% 64% 20% 2%
8 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
9 SONG Jenna 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 12%
10 TAN Dorathy 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
11 COLLINS Anna 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
12 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
13 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
14 CAMPBELL June 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
15 SONG Erin 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
16 MORSE Katherine 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1%
17 OWEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
18 MIZIN Sarita O. 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1%
19 HU Jiarong 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
20 SHUSTA Lily 100% 94% 58% 16% 1%
21 TELCI Arya 100% 18% 1% - - -
22 SOROUR Amira 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
23 PERRIN Emma 100% 35% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.