BCAF Mitch Davis Memorial Mixed Senior Foil Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 16, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Bucks County Academy of Fencing - Lambertville, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NABI Masoud Masoud W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 KURPASKA Jonathan A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
3 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 55%
3 HOLLIS Sean 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
5 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 11%
6 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
7 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 2% -
8 SHICK Veronika 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
9 SOBON JAson 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
10 MEROTTO Umberto 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
11 COGSWELL Michael A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 6%
12 KOVACS Harrison 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
13 LAZAR Carolina 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
14 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
15 ROJAS Elijah 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
16 CHRISTOPHER Nicholas 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
17 GODIN Willis 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
18 LA BARR Edward T. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
19 LANGENSTEIN Matthew G. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
20 COSSROW Alex 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% - -
21 BECK Liliyana 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.