Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PARRISH Evan | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 2 | MILLER Jordan | D V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | WONG Evan | V V D V V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | LI Edison M. | V V D V D V | V V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 5 | LIN James G. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 6 | PAN Henry | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 7 | SIMONOV Timofey | V D V D V V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 8 | ORLOV Dmitriy | D V V D D V | V V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 9 | METZ Mason | V V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| 10 | TANG Alexander L. | V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 11 | TANG Albert | D V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 12 | CHO Jadon Yushin | V D V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 13 | TIKHAEV Alexander | V V D D V V | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 14 | GONZALEZ Oliver | D D V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 15 | HUA Aaron | V D V D V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 16 | BLACK Zachary | V D V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 17 | SONG Austin | D V V V V D | D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 18 | ZAIDI Adil | V D V V V D | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 19 | MARISI Gabriel | V V D D V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 20 | JIANG Bowang | D V V D D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 21 | TANG August L. | V V D D V D | D | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| 22 | KRECKE Gareth | D V V D D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 23 | GRIEB Oliver | V D V D D V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 24 | LEVY Jacob | V V D V D D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 25 | SMOLICH Marat | D V V D V D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 26 | CHA James | D V V D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 27 | SHIN Noah | D V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | LU Andy | V D D D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 29 | ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO | D D V V D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 30 | RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. | D D D V D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 31 | XU Dinghui Ryan | D D D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 32 | GRACEY Gavin | V D D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 33 | PRICE Owen | V D D V D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 34 | CHENH Justin | D V D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 35 | XU Ryan | D D D D V D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 36 | REN Ryan | D D D V D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 37 | BURGOS Jacob R. | D D D D D V | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 38 | COSSROW Alex | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 38 | STANSBURY Desmond | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 40 | CHEN Tyler | D D D D D D | D | 0.0 | 0 | - |
| 40 | MONSCH Channing | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.