Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARRISH Evan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
2 MILLER Jordan - 1% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
3 WONG Evan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
3 LI Edison M. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
5 LIN James G. - - - 2% 12% 41% 46%
6 PAN Henry - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
7 SIMONOV Timofey - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
8 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
9 METZ Mason - 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
10 TANG Alexander L. - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
11 TANG Albert - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
12 CHO Jadon Yushin - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
13 TIKHAEV Alexander - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
14 GONZALEZ Oliver - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
15 HUA Aaron 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
16 BLACK Zachary - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
17 SONG Austin - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
18 ZAIDI Adil 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
19 MARISI Gabriel 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
20 JIANG Bowang - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
21 TANG August L. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
22 KRECKE Gareth 1% 32% 42% 20% 5% - -
23 GRIEB Oliver 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
24 LEVY Jacob - 2% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
25 SMOLICH Marat - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
26 CHA James 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
27 SHIN Noah 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
28 LU Andy 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
29 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2% -
30 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
31 XU Dinghui Ryan 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
32 GRACEY Gavin 17% 46% 29% 7% 1% - -
33 PRICE Owen - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
34 CHENH Justin 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
35 XU Ryan 63% 32% 4% - - - -
36 REN Ryan 35% 43% 18% 4% - - -
37 BURGOS Jacob R. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
38 COSSROW Alex 37% 41% 17% 3% - - -
38 STANSBURY Desmond 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -
40 CHEN Tyler 98% 2% - - - - -
40 MONSCH Channing 10% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.