Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUNG Olivia - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 WANG MONA - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
3 HU Heidi - - 1% 7% 35% 48% 9%
3 REN Katherine - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
5 ZHANG Ashley - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
6 XU Elaine - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
7 PEREIRA Izumi - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
8 MALUKI Nia - 2% 15% 37% 34% 10% 1%
9 WANG Emily - - 1% 8% 29% 45% 18%
10 YOUNG Sienna - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
11 ROSTHOLDER Hannah - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
12 MAJEWSKA Maria - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14% -
13 MACHIRAJU Ishita 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
14 KO Ariel - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
15 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
16 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
17 VARAH Alaia - 1% 5% 21% 40% 29% 6%
18 WANG Selina 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
19 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
20 TOPALOV Julia 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
21 GU Allison 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
22 LI Gloria 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
23 HU Emily 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
24 LIANG Katherine 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
25 ZHANG Nikki - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
26 ZHANG Manyao - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
27 MCCABE Ashley 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
28 ONG Katherine - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8% 1%
29 KONDE Anika 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
30 TIAN Ariana - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
31 CHANG Grace 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
32 LASS Genevieve 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
33 SARBU Esme 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
34 ARGUELLO Camilla - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
35 QUILLIAM Ophelia - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
36 ATA Emily 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
37 VU Claire 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
38 MAZZURCO Marin 11% 42% 34% 11% 2% - -
39 GISCHLER Mila - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
40 FLORY Gaia - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
41 RADELL Zoe 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
42 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
43 BRAUN Victoria 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
44 BENNETT Eloise 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
45 CORDOVA Hailey 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
46 JIN Eileen 11% 33% 36% 16% 4% - -
47 RAZIANO Collins 36% 41% 19% 4% - - -
48 ARANGO Ivanna 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
48 ZHANG Elyna 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.