Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 WANG MONA 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
3 HU Heidi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 9%
3 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
5 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
6 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
7 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
8 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11% 1%
9 WANG Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 18%
10 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
11 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
12 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14% -
13 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
14 KO Ariel 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
15 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
16 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
17 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 6%
18 WANG Selina 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
19 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
20 TOPALOV Julia 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
21 GU Allison 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
22 LI Gloria 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
23 HU Emily 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
24 LIANG Katherine 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
25 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
26 ZHANG Manyao 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
27 MCCABE Ashley 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
28 ONG Katherine 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% 1%
29 KONDE Anika 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
30 TIAN Ariana 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
31 CHANG Grace 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
32 LASS Genevieve 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
33 SARBU Esme 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
34 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
35 QUILLIAM Ophelia 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
36 ATA Emily 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
37 VU Claire 100% 98% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
38 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 89% 46% 12% 2% - -
39 GISCHLER Mila 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
40 FLORY Gaia 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
41 RADELL Zoe 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
42 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
43 BRAUN Victoria 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
44 BENNETT Eloise 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
45 CORDOVA Hailey 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
46 JIN Eileen 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
47 RAZIANO Collins 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
48 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
48 ZHANG Elyna 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.