Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VALENCIA Jose - - 2% 12% 36% 39% 12%
2 ZHANG Kaixuan - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
3 WEI Rian - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
3 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 6% 30% 64%
5 JI Johnson - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
6 RINALDI Savio - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
7 AGARWAAL Yohan - - - 5% 21% 44% 30%
8 PAUL Jimmy 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
9 CHANG Ethan - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
10 FENG Brendan - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
11 GUREVICH Benjamin - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
12 TAN Rui - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 16%
13 MELE Gianni - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
14 HUCHWAJDA Alex - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
15 LI Cooper - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
16 HENRY Cadel - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
17 BOLLU Viren - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
18 SAYAR Luke 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
18 BADMUS Joshua - 1% 6% 29% 44% 21%
20 DAI Zihou - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
21 MIAO Heqi - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
22 SUH Leo - 2% 13% 31% 36% 16% 2%
23 URSU Marcel T. - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
23 KAUL Ishaan - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
25 WANG Alex - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
26 LIAO Sirui - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
27 CHAN Ewan 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
28 JOHNSON Leland - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
29 HENDERSON Louis - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 3%
30 KANE Kiran 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
31 PERRIN Leo - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
32 LI Michael 1% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
33 HU Harry - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
34 BROOKS Theo 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
35 WANG Theodore - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
36 LIN Brendan - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
37 LOO Jason - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
38 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
39 LIANG Morgan - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
40 MOON Noah - 6% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
41 WANG Mason 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
42 LUAN Stephen - 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
43 SO Morgan 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
44 CHAWLA Abhishek - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
44 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
46 JAVIER Xavier - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2%
47 WU Vincent 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
48 CAO HAOTIAN 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
49 CHANG Timothy 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
50 OREN Daniel 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
51 HOWERTON Beckett 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
52 LEVY Daniel - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
52 BROOKS Isaac 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
54 BRISENO Ethan 2% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
55 SIMMONS Evan 33% 44% 20% 4% - - -
56 WANG Ziyao 10% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
57 BUKZIN Alan 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
58 YEAZEL Colin 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
59 LIU Jayden - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
60 LI Lucas 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
61 HE Nolan 2% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
62 TAKEBE Ren 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
63 LAU Kyrus - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
64 VU Mark 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
65 YI Andrew - 1% 11% 36% 39% 13%
66 LI Kent 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
67 HOWARTH Hayes 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
68 NIEJADLIK Samuel 8% 36% 40% 14% 2% -
69 PLATT Michael (Trace) 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
70 BONGIORNO Redding 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
71 KUANG Cyrus 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
71 HUANG Anthony 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
71 SIREN Isaac 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
74 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
75 YU Ronen 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
76 FAN Leo 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
77 PIPKE Garrett 7% 35% 41% 15% 2% -
78 ZHANG Caleb 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
79 ALLEN Asa 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
80 CHOU Franklin 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
81 ALLEN Paxton 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
82 SPENCER-EL Elijah 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
83 DONNELL Cillian 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
84 DEGUZMAN Holden 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
84 EVELYN Wyatt 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
86 CHOI Clayton 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
87 REIFKE Clive 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
88 BONGIORNO Wesley 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
88 GOLART Dylan 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
90 FREILICH Harrison 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
91 WANG Harrison 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
92 KHOSLA Shya 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
93 XU Andrew 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
94 VU Luke 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
95 HUANG KIMBALL 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
96 DE HOSSON Finn 76% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.