Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, March 21, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
2 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
5 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
6 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
7 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
8 PAUL Jimmy 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
9 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
10 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
11 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
12 TAN Rui 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
13 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
14 HUCHWAJDA Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
15 LI Cooper 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
16 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
17 BOLLU Viren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
18 SAYAR Luke 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
18 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
20 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
21 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
22 SUH Leo 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 2%
23 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
23 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
25 WANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
26 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
27 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 6% 1%
28 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
29 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
30 KANE Kiran 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
31 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
32 LI Michael 100% 99% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
33 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
34 BROOKS Theo 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
35 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
36 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
37 LOO Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
38 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
39 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
40 MOON Noah 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
41 WANG Mason 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
42 LUAN Stephen 100% 100% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
43 SO Morgan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
44 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
44 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
46 JAVIER Xavier 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
47 WU Vincent 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
48 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
49 CHANG Timothy 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
50 OREN Daniel 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
51 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
52 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
52 BROOKS Isaac 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
54 BRISENO Ethan 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
55 SIMMONS Evan 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
56 WANG Ziyao 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
57 BUKZIN Alan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
58 YEAZEL Colin 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
59 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
60 LI Lucas 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
61 HE Nolan 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
62 TAKEBE Ren 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3%
63 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
64 VU Mark 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
65 YI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
66 LI Kent 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
67 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
68 NIEJADLIK Samuel 100% 92% 56% 16% 2% -
69 PLATT Michael (Trace) 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1%
70 BONGIORNO Redding 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
71 KUANG Cyrus 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
71 HUANG Anthony 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
71 SIREN Isaac 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
74 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
75 YU Ronen 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
76 FAN Leo 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
77 PIPKE Garrett 100% 93% 58% 17% 2% -
78 ZHANG Caleb 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
79 ALLEN Asa 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
80 CHOU Franklin 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
81 ALLEN Paxton 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
82 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
83 DONNELL Cillian 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
84 DEGUZMAN Holden 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
84 EVELYN Wyatt 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
86 CHOI Clayton 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
87 REIFKE Clive 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
88 BONGIORNO Wesley 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
88 GOLART Dylan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
90 FREILICH Harrison 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
91 WANG Harrison 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
92 KHOSLA Shya 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
93 XU Andrew 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
94 VU Luke 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
95 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
96 DE HOSSON Finn 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.