Meade Hansford Anderson Memorial RYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Kinecta Soccer Center - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	RONG Gordon	-	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	18%
2	DU Evan	-	-	2%	14%	41%	43%
3	VAN JAARSVELD Leo	-	1%	5%	19%	35%	31%	10%
3	HERBRANDSON Luke	-	-	1%	8%	26%	40%	24%
5	XUE Michael	-	1%	6%	24%	44%	26%
6	WOO Lucas	-	-	4%	17%	34%	32%	12%
7	GADHVI Darius	-	3%	16%	36%	35%	9%
8	LIANG Donny	-	-	1%	10%	30%	40%	18%
9	ENG Kyler	1%	7%	24%	36%	25%	6%
10	PARKE Nathaniel	-	1%	7%	23%	36%	27%	7%
11	GUO Woody	-	-	5%	20%	38%	30%	8%
12	WU Nathan	1%	10%	27%	35%	22%	5%
13	FU Nolan	-	1%	6%	20%	34%	29%	10%
14	WANG Dylan	2%	10%	26%	33%	21%	7%	1%
15	SONG Jonathan	11%	32%	34%	17%	4%	-	-
16	HUA Nolan	12%	33%	34%	16%	4%	-
17	MOSLEY Wally	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	15%
18	SCHWARTZMAN Ethan	2%	13%	32%	33%	16%	4%	-
19	HAMILTON Travis	-	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	5%
20	WANG Jason	-	2%	12%	30%	38%	18%
21	AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam	1%	11%	31%	36%	17%	3%
22	LIU Aiden	2%	18%	35%	30%	12%	2%	-
23	BAI Alex	14%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-	-
24	CHEN Aiden	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
25	MAXU Tiger	-	2%	12%	29%	34%	18%	3%
25	SHOURIE Neel	8%	30%	37%	20%	5%	1%	-
27	HWANG Matthew	-	3%	15%	32%	32%	15%	3%
28	WANG Lucas	-	2%	11%	26%	33%	22%	6%
29	FRANCK Nicholas	-	2%	17%	36%	31%	13%	2%
30	RONG Marcus	1%	9%	27%	35%	21%	6%	1%
31	YOO Lucas	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
32	KOU Mason	3%	17%	34%	30%	13%	3%	-
33	PARK Sean	28%	42%	23%	6%	1%	-
34	GUO Jonathan	6%	27%	39%	23%	5%	-
35	FU Adrian	-	4%	15%	30%	31%	16%	3%
36	WONG Alexander	1%	11%	31%	36%	17%	4%	-
37	SHOURIE Seth	4%	22%	37%	26%	9%	2%	-
38	YUN Nicholas	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-	-
39	TOUSSAINT Wizard	5%	21%	35%	28%	10%	1%
40	MUNOZ Rocco	30%	43%	22%	5%	-	-
41	NGUYEN Ethan V.	6%	26%	38%	24%	6%	-
42	OR Anson	54%	36%	9%	1%	-	-	-
43	ABRAHAM Aaron	48%	38%	12%	2%	-	-	-
44	BYUN Matthew	6%	26%	38%	23%	6%	1%	-
45	ROSENBERG Alex	6%	27%	38%	23%	6%	-
46	BONTHA Dhruv	11%	32%	35%	18%	4%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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