Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOELL Ethan - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
2 SHENG Dalton - - - - 5% 31% 64%
3 CHEN Kyle P. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 LI Edison M. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
5 CHO Jadon Yushin - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 SALEH Omar - - - 4% 25% 56% 15%
7 GUTH Joseph - - - - 6% 32% 62%
8 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
9 TANG Alexander L. - - - - 2% 28% 70%
10 WONG Evan - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
11 TOOMRE Kai - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
12 CHA James - 1% 9% 34% 45% 11%
13 LIU Alex 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4%
14 SHIN Noah - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
15 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - - 6% 34% 60%
16 YU William - 1% 12% 39% 42% 6%
17 FANG Haoyu - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
18 ONIK Ari N. - 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
19 SUAREZ David - - 5% 22% 40% 29% 4%
20 BAI Austin - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
21 KINGSLEY Griffin - 2% 14% 38% 37% 8% -
22 HUA Aaron - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
23 COSSROW Alex 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
24 METZ Mason - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
25 HUYNH Matthew 1% 7% 28% 43% 19% 1%
26 JIANG Bohan 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
27 TARCHICHI Robby - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
28 SUSANTO William 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
29 SENANI Arjun - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
30 LU Andy - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
31 MARISI Gabriel - 2% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
32 GRIGORIEV Michael - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 1%
33 VADEN Oliver - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
34 GE Felix Fei - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
35 LIM EUNSEONG - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 4%
36 REN Ryan 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
37 JIN Daniel 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
38 LEONG Samuel 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
39 JIN George 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
40 HE Ryan 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
41 SAMUEL Lucas 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 2%
42 CHOW Kingsley 3% 34% 42% 18% 3% - -
43 XU Joseph 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
44 BAS Jonathan 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
45 BABER Shaheer 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
46 CHIANG Aiden 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
47 BOWLES Kevin 1% 14% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
48 ADAN Jacobo 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
49 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
50 KAYE Ben 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
51 CHANG Parker 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
52 PARMAR Veer 18% 44% 30% 7% 1% -
53 PHILLIPS Oliver 25% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
54 TUCKER Nechiga 9% 33% 40% 16% 2% -
55 BLACK Henry 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
56 STANSBURY Desmond 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
56 JIN Xinyi 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
58 SHAW Spencer 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
59 RAMESH Prashvin 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
60 KIM Daniel 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
61 KUBBA Krish 22% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
62 CHOI Hunter 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
63 ZENG Albert 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
64 SHAW eric 26% 44% 25% 5% - -
65 WEBER Andrew - 9% 33% 40% 17% 2% -
66 CAO Joshua 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
67 LEE Noah 10% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
68 HAN Nathan 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
68 XU Ryan 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
70 MACK Ethan 4% 23% 43% 25% 5% -
71 NEGLEY Royce 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
72 CHEN Tyler 81% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.