Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
2 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
5 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
6 SALEH Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 15%
7 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
8 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
9 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
10 WONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
11 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
12 CHA James 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 11%
13 LIU Alex 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
14 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
15 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
16 YU William 100% 100% 98% 87% 48% 6%
17 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
18 ONIK Ari N. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
19 SUAREZ David 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
20 BAI Austin 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 2%
21 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9% -
22 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
23 COSSROW Alex 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
24 METZ Mason 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
25 HUYNH Matthew 100% 99% 92% 64% 21% 1%
26 JIANG Bohan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
27 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
28 SUSANTO William 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
29 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
30 LU Andy 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
31 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
32 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
33 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
34 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
35 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
36 REN Ryan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
37 JIN Daniel 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
38 LEONG Samuel 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
39 JIN George 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
40 HE Ryan 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
41 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 2%
42 CHOW Kingsley 100% 97% 63% 21% 3% - -
43 XU Joseph 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
44 BAS Jonathan 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
45 BABER Shaheer 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
46 CHIANG Aiden 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% -
47 BOWLES Kevin 100% 99% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
48 ADAN Jacobo 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
49 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
50 KAYE Ben 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
51 CHANG Parker 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
52 PARMAR Veer 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% -
53 PHILLIPS Oliver 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
54 TUCKER Nechiga 100% 91% 58% 18% 2% -
55 BLACK Henry 100% 71% 27% 5% 1% - -
56 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
56 JIN Xinyi 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
58 SHAW Spencer 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
59 RAMESH Prashvin 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
60 KIM Daniel 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
61 KUBBA Krish 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% - -
62 CHOI Hunter 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
63 ZENG Albert 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
64 SHAW eric 100% 74% 30% 5% - -
65 WEBER Andrew 100% 100% 91% 58% 18% 2% -
66 CAO Joshua 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
67 LEE Noah 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
68 HAN Nathan 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
68 XU Ryan 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
70 MACK Ethan 100% 96% 73% 30% 5% -
71 NEGLEY Royce 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
72 CHEN Tyler 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.