Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BROWN Lola - - 1% 11% 46% 42%
2 SHIM Grace J. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
3 SHMUKLER Maria - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19%
3 XIE Lillian - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
5 HUANG Yuwen - - 2% 16% 50% 32%
6 AL-BATTAINEH Eva - - 2% 14% 42% 36% 6%
7 YACOBUCCI Nadia - - 2% 13% 39% 40% 7%
8 HAFEZ Tahiyah - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
9 HARRIS Julia - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
10 BING Charlotte - - 1% 8% 31% 47% 13%
11 HOROWITZ Shuli - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
12 LI Savannah - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
13 PEVZNER Nicole - - - - 4% 31% 65%
14 JIANG Chloe - 1% 6% 24% 44% 23% 2%
15 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia - 6% 25% 38% 24% 5%
16 MARISI Gianna - - 1% 11% 46% 42%
17 DONG Angela - - 2% 16% 50% 31%
18 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya - - 3% 17% 43% 32% 5%
19 DE CASTRO Kai 1% 16% 37% 33% 12% 2%
20 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
21 JOO Sara - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 2%
22 LIN Yunong - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1%
23 CHOI Cara 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
24 GE Lena Lan 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
25 CHO Olivia 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
26 PINEDA jade luna - 3% 19% 39% 30% 7%
27 EPSTEIN Naomi 7% 29% 41% 21% 3% -
28 DONG Iris 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
29 KATS Ekaterina 12% 41% 34% 11% 2% -
30 SONG Erin 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
31 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% - -
32 KIM Sophia 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
33 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - - - - 4% 28% 68%
34 ZHU Ella 1% 13% 39% 37% 9% 1%
35 SELSER Ella 2% 18% 40% 30% 9% 1%
36 LI Christina - 7% 29% 43% 18% 3% -
37 SUN Erin 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
38 YIN Chloe 1% 13% 35% 35% 15% 2%
39 BAULIN Zoya 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
40 DIMATULAC Elise Ann - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
41 KUTATELADZE Anna 3% 28% 44% 22% 3% -
42 CHAN Jolene 2% 20% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
43 SHAOOLIAN Maya 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
44 LEE Allison 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 2% -
45 WU Lorena 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% -
46 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
46 ROTHMAN Rebecca 4% 30% 44% 20% 2% -
48 SINGH Evangelina 3% 19% 40% 31% 7% -
49 LIU Joanna 83% 16% 1% - - -
50 ZAHRAN Emily 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
50 BLANKS Campbell 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
52 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 3% 21% 42% 27% 6% - -
53 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 19% 46% 29% 6% - - -
54 JAIN Dia 42% 43% 13% 1% - - -
55 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 69% 27% 4% - - -
56 HOFF Divya 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
57 MASHCHENKO Sabina 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
57 LUEKEN Adelina 76% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.