Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 42%
2 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
3 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 HUANG Yuwen 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 32%
6 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 6%
7 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 7%
8 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
9 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
10 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 13%
11 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
12 LI Savannah 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
13 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
14 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26% 2%
15 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
16 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 42%
17 DONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
18 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 5%
19 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2%
20 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
21 JOO Sara 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
22 LIN Yunong 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9% 1%
23 CHOI Cara 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% - -
24 GE Lena Lan 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
25 CHO Olivia 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 4% -
26 PINEDA jade luna 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
27 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 93% 65% 24% 3% -
28 DONG Iris 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
29 KATS Ekaterina 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
30 SONG Erin 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
31 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
32 KIM Sophia 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
33 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
34 ZHU Ella 100% 99% 86% 47% 10% 1%
35 SELSER Ella 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
36 LI Christina 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 3% -
37 SUN Erin 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
38 YIN Chloe 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
39 BAULIN Zoya 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
40 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
41 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 97% 69% 25% 3% -
42 CHAN Jolene 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
43 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
44 LEE Allison 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
45 WU Lorena 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% -
46 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
46 ROTHMAN Rebecca 100% 96% 66% 23% 3% -
48 SINGH Evangelina 100% 97% 78% 38% 7% -
49 LIU Joanna 100% 17% 1% - - -
50 ZAHRAN Emily 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
50 BLANKS Campbell 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
52 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% - -
53 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 81% 36% 7% - - -
54 JAIN Dia 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
55 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 100% 31% 4% - - -
56 HOFF Divya 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
57 MASHCHENKO Sabina 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
57 LUEKEN Adelina 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.