Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
2 DAVIDOVA Kira - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
3 BERNARD Kathryn - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
3 FAN Alexandria - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
5 YANNOPOULOS Pompie - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
6 REN Katherine - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
7 GENTILE Vittoria - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
8 CHANG Annette - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
9 XU Elaine - 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
10 VATS Ishita 2% 20% 38% 28% 10% 1% -
11 NIU Jessica - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
12 TA-ZHOU Emma - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
13 PARK Haylie - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
14 WANG MONA 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
15 KIM Grace 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
16 KIM Audrey - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
17 CHANG Norah - 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
18 SEVASTOPULO Sahra - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
19 HUANG Neila - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
20 WONG Charlene - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
21 JOHNSON Neema - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
22 NANDA Maanika 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2%
23 HUANG Pierra - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
24 BORGUETA Madison - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 7%
25 NG Sophia - 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4%
26 LEE Kaitlin - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
27 FLEEGER Sophia 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
28 LAFFY Lily - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
29 SUNG Olivia - - 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
30 HU Heidi - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
31 MCAFEE Jada - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
32 ZHANG Audrey 4% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
33 MAJEWSKA Maria 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
34 LIU Chelsea 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
35 VANNIER Anouk 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
36 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
37 LOO Kaitlyn - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
38 PEREIRA Izumi 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
39 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
40 TISSONE Veronica 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
41 YADAV Tishya 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
42 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
43 PHILLIPPY Hannah 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
44 TA-ZHOU Sophia 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
45 KO Ariel 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
45 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
47 LIANG Claire 2% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
48 FANG Darcy 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
49 HUANG Zoe 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
50 TRAMMELL Jada 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
51 GUO Yuexi 17% 52% 25% 5% 1% - -
52 NAKATA Gwyneth 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
53 MCSHANE Adele 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
54 KANG Ellie 61% 34% 5% - - - -
55 TOPALOV Julia 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.