Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
2 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
3 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
5 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
6 REN Katherine 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
7 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
8 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
9 XU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
10 VATS Ishita 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
11 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
12 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
13 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
14 WANG MONA 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
15 KIM Grace 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
16 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
17 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
18 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
19 HUANG Neila 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
20 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
21 JOHNSON Neema 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
22 NANDA Maanika 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
23 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
24 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
25 NG Sophia 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
26 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
27 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
28 LAFFY Lily 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
29 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
30 HU Heidi 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
31 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7%
32 ZHANG Audrey 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% -
33 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
34 LIU Chelsea 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
35 VANNIER Anouk 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
36 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
37 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
38 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
39 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
40 TISSONE Veronica 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1%
41 YADAV Tishya 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
42 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
43 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
44 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
45 KO Ariel 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
45 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
47 LIANG Claire 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
48 FANG Darcy 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
49 HUANG Zoe 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
50 TRAMMELL Jada 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
51 GUO Yuexi 100% 83% 31% 6% 1% - -
52 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
53 MCSHANE Adele 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
54 KANG Ellie 100% 39% 5% - - - -
55 TOPALOV Julia 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.