Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Olivia - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 ZHENG Annalyn - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 FRASER Morgan - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
3 ZHU Alivia - - - 3% 16% 45% 36%
5 ELLISON Ingrid - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
6 CHAN Jolene - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
7 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
8 FAROOQI Eliora - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9% 1%
9 HUANG Emma - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
10 CLOUD Chrystie - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
11 JAZWINSKI Ivy - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
12 KHETPAL Aalia - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
13 CHAN Jaclyn 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
14 HOLSTAD Anneliese 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
15 TURBAT Celine - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
16 LIU Bella 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
17 PAEK Ellie - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
18 YAO Emma - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
19 KIM Lael 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
20 LI Beatrice 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 9% -
21 WANG Joann - - 3% 19% 42% 32% 3%
22 TANG Clementine 5% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
23 FANG Savannah 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
24 SHI Cathy 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
25 MA Laurie 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
26 ZHAO Sophia 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
27 JU Victoria - - 4% 16% 36% 35% 9%
28 LALONDE Beatrice - 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
29 ZHU Alicia 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
30 WU Karina 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
31 RICCHIUTI Layani - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
32 HUANG Jiayu - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
33 CHEN Arianna 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
34 HALLEY Jacqueline 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
35 WEST Mira 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
36 JIANG Arwen 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
37 LIM EDELINE 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
38 LI Catherine 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
39 KIM Olivia 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
40 RICCHIUTI Dakota - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
40 WANG Christina 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
42 KANASZ Peyton 24% 47% 24% 5% - - -
43 LI Jiacheng 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
44 CLOUD Cailynn 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
45 LAPCZYNSKI Olivia 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
45 MAYES-POURNARAS Zara 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
47 CRAWFORD Caia < 1% 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
48 TAYLOR Rory 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
48 WILK Catherine < 1% 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.