Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
5 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
6 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
7 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
8 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
9 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
10 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
11 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
12 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
13 CHAN Jaclyn 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
14 HOLSTAD Anneliese 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
15 TURBAT Celine 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
16 LIU Bella 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
17 PAEK Ellie 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11% 1%
18 YAO Emma 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
19 KIM Lael 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
20 LI Beatrice 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9% -
21 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 3%
22 TANG Clementine 100% 95% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
23 FANG Savannah 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
24 SHI Cathy 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
25 MA Laurie 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
26 ZHAO Sophia 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
27 JU Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
28 LALONDE Beatrice 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
29 ZHU Alicia 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
30 WU Karina 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
31 RICCHIUTI Layani 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
32 HUANG Jiayu 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 20% 3%
33 CHEN Arianna 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
34 HALLEY Jacqueline 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
35 WEST Mira 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
36 JIANG Arwen 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
37 LIM EDELINE 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
38 LI Catherine 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
39 KIM Olivia 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
40 RICCHIUTI Dakota 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
40 WANG Christina 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
42 KANASZ Peyton 100% 76% 29% 5% 1% - -
43 LI Jiacheng 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
44 CLOUD Cailynn 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
45 LAPCZYNSKI Olivia 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
45 MAYES-POURNARAS Zara 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
47 CRAWFORD Caia 100% 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
48 TAYLOR Rory 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
48 WILK Catherine 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.