Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Kaixuan - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
2 CIEMINS Henry - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
3 DAI Zihou 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
3 KIARA Kinoti - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
5 HUCHWAJDA Alex - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
6 PEREIRA Beckham - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
7 LUAN Mark - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
8 JI Johnson - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
9 BADMUS Joshua 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
10 WANG Michael - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
11 PAUL Jimmy - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
12 VALENCIA Jose - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
13 MALAITHONG Nathagorn - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
14 HALL Noah - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
15 BALU Aedan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
16 FENG Brendan - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
17 BOLLU Viren - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
18 RINALDI Savio - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
19 MELE Gianni 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
20 LI Cooper - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
21 LUAN Stephen - 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
22 LIN Brendan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
23 CLARK Aram - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
24 AGARWAAL Yohan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
25 LOO Jason - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
26 BUKZIN Alan 4% 25% 42% 23% 5% -
27 XU Ivan - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
28 LI Michael 1% 18% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
29 SAYAR Luke - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
30 HU Harry - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
31 D'AMELJ Edoardo 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
32 MIAO Heqi - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
33 AO Christopher - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
34 WANG Theodore 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
35 BENE Paul 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
36 BROOKS Theo 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
37 BENE Andrew 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
38 PERRIN Leo - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
39 CHANG Timothy 5% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
40 WANG Ziyao 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
41 OREN Daniel 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
42 TAN Rui - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
43 CHANG Ethan - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
44 WANG Alex - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
44 ALLEN Asa 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
44 EDWARDS Farren - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
47 ROSE Lucas - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
48 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Juan Pablo 40% 43% 14% 2% - -
49 BONGIORNO Wesley 2% 15% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
50 PIPKE Garrett 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
51 LIU Jayden 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
52 BRAMLETT Myer 17% 45% 30% 7% 1% -
53 OTT William 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
54 YEAZEL Colin 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
55 BROOKS Isaac 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% - -
56 MOON Noah 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
57 SUH Leo 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
58 CHAWLA Abhishek 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
59 HUANG Anthony 16% 46% 30% 7% 1% - -
60 KAUL Ishaan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
62 MISHULOVICH Ronen 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
63 HOWERTON Beckett 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
64 SIMMONS Evan 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
65 NELKA Brenden 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
66 VU Mark 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
67 GOLART Dylan 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
68 TEPLESKY Sasha 87% 13% 1% - - - -
69 KHOSLA Shya 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.