Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, March 22, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
2 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
3 DAI Zihou 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
3 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
5 HUCHWAJDA Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
6 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
7 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
8 JI Johnson 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
9 BADMUS Joshua 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
10 WANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
11 PAUL Jimmy 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
12 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
13 MALAITHONG Nathagorn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
14 HALL Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
15 BALU Aedan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
16 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
17 BOLLU Viren 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
18 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
19 MELE Gianni 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
20 LI Cooper 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
21 LUAN Stephen 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
22 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
23 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
24 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
25 LOO Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
26 BUKZIN Alan 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
27 XU Ivan 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
28 LI Michael 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
29 SAYAR Luke 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
30 HU Harry 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
31 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
32 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
33 AO Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
34 WANG Theodore 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
35 BENE Paul 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
36 BROOKS Theo 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
37 BENE Andrew 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
38 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
39 CHANG Timothy 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
40 WANG Ziyao 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
41 OREN Daniel 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
42 TAN Rui 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
43 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
44 WANG Alex 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
44 ALLEN Asa 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
44 EDWARDS Farren 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
47 ROSE Lucas 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
48 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Juan Pablo 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
49 BONGIORNO Wesley 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
50 PIPKE Garrett 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
51 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
52 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% -
53 OTT William 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
54 YEAZEL Colin 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
55 BROOKS Isaac 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
56 MOON Noah 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
57 SUH Leo 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
58 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
59 HUANG Anthony 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% - -
60 KAUL Ishaan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
62 MISHULOVICH Ronen 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
63 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
64 SIMMONS Evan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
65 NELKA Brenden 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
66 VU Mark 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
67 GOLART Dylan 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
68 TEPLESKY Sasha 100% 13% 1% - - - -
69 KHOSLA Shya 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.